Jun 21, 2022
In Welcome to the Forum
"The future I imagined in the past is not the present, and now it seems clear what the future is." These are the two lines of Cui Jian's song "It's Not I Don't Understand". These two simple lines reveal today's uncertainty. Especially since China's reform and category email list opening up, we have gone through the course of the West for hundreds of years. More than a decade ago, we pursued stable positions, but now we are constantly being questioned. Among category email list them, China's Internet industry is changing faster and has greater uncertainty: companies that are still growing rapidly today may face the risk of bankruptcy tomorrow. Among them, part of it is due to the rapid development of reform and opening up, and more factors are the greater application of basic technology research in human society, which triggers more and more people's needs, which in turn leads to the emergence of more things. To meet people's needs, new things continue to appear. People are exposed to more information and category email list everything is getting faster, which also brings greater uncertainty. On the other hand, in many cases, we start from experience to deduce what the future will look like. Think of a category email list linear progression from the present to the future, with everything moving at the speed of the past. In fact, the world we live in is more often developed exponentially, much faster than we think. Image source: Knowing Panda Jun Reaching this category email list juncture means that there will be more black swan events (referring to: events that cause extensive, serious consequences, unpredictable, and irregular occurrences). Because of its unpredictability, we only category email list know it will happen, but not when it will happen. It is precisely because of uncertainty that when we persevere in this uncertainty and overcome it, then we will gain more than others. 1. How should we benefit from uncertainty? As product managers, we feel the impact of cutting-edge news on the Internet every day.